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1. Nba Teaser Strategies
2. Nba Teaser Bets
3. Nba Teasers
4. Nba Teaser Odds

When topics related to “NBA teaser betting” pop-up on forums, discussions are generally met by moderators informing basketball teasers are sucker bets. While these mods speak partial truth, the only reason most sports bettors aren’t crushing basketball teasers on a consistent basis is because they hate money, or more commonly, it’s because they lack the skills or initiative required to calculate which point-spreads are the most profitable to tease. In this article I’ll teach you how to do just that, using NBA teasers. While it’s a bit simple-math and example intensive, if you follow along I’m sure you’ll be glad you did when the profits start rolling in.

Basketball Teaser Odds

Let’s start with the most obvious. To win betting NBA teasers you’ll need to bet with the best odds available. Deciding on which odds are best isn’t exactly easy for the reason odds are not standard; every site has their own set of fixed teaser odds and some sites start at 4-point teasers, while others start at 4.5 or 5 points. The world’s largest bookmaker, Bookmaker.com starts their basketball teasers at 5-points and discount sportsbooks such as Pinnacle Sports and 5Dimes.eu offer these as well. Here is quick comparison of 5-point teaser odds at eight online betting sites.

• Sportsbook: 2-team 5-points (-130)
• 2BetDSI: 2-team 5-points (-130)
• Intertops: 2-team 5-points (-130)
• BetOnline: 2-team 5-points (-120)
• Bodog.com: 2-team 5-points (-120)
• Bookmaker.com: 2-team 5-points (-110)
• Pinnacle Sports: 2-team 5-points (-110)
• 5Dimes.eu: 2-team 5-points (-110)

Oct 23, 2018 By teasing across three and seven, the teaser covers the top two outcomes, and with the extra point being moved back, the newest key number, six. For a 6 point teaser to break even, bettors must win each single leg 72.3% of the time. The Master's of NBA Teasers - NBA Thursday Night 2 Team Teaser Winner #9 in a Row! Incredible 75% Success Rate on NBA Teasers Last 4 Seasons! We're Very Confident Tonight, Don't Miss Out on this Event! - NBA Teasers 8-2 This Year! - Guaranteed to Cash Today's Teaser or Next Teaser is Free! - Purchase Must Be Made by 7:35 PM EST. How to Bet NBA Basketball Teasers. By Loot, NCAA Basketball Handicapper, Lootmeister.com. As we explore the different bets available to the NBA betting man, we arrive at the teaser. It’s a popular bet among the general betting public and continues to grow, as books have expanded the variety of teasers we can play. NBA teasers are a combination of two to ten selections. The idea is to adjust the bets with the advantage of points or the totals in your favor in exchange for a lower payout. Many handicappers and betting websites will advise you to avoid basketball teasers.

I’ll say this, teasers are tough to beat at -110 and near impossible to beat at -120 and -130. The good news is, digging a little deeper you’ll find 5Dimes.eu offers 4.5 point “ties win” teaser at +101. When this teaser is applied only to point spreads where it’s possible to push (so one’s with a half point before the tease) this is the same thing as getting a 5-point teaser at +101. This is in incredible when compared to the teaser odds of other betting sites. So, for the remainder of this review all of our teasers analysis will be based on 4.5-point “ties win” teasers at +101.

Understanding the Odds

The required win rate to break even on +101 bets is 49.75%. The formula used to calculate this is “risk divided by return”. At +101 we risk $100 to win $101 so our return is $201 (stake + win) and therefore the math is 100/201=0.4975 which is a decimal for 49.75%. In a 2-team teaser this is how often both teams together must win to break even. To calculate how often each team must win individually, Google search “square root calculator” and plug in 0.4975. Here you’ll find 0.70533 x 0.70533 = 0.4975. Therefore, to win betting 2-team NBA teasers at +101 we need to make selections that when teased 4.5-points “ties win” have greater than a 70.5% chance of covering.

Which Teams to Tease

Even at 5Dimes.eu industry leading teaser odds, if we randomly pick teams we’re going to lose a lot of money over the long haul. To show why: using the past 4 full seasons of data together with season to date for the 2010/11 season, on March 13, 2011 I pulled stats and determined the following.

All spreads teased 4.5 points “ties win” combined for a record of a record 8313-4127 (66.8%); the subsets are broken down below.

• Home Favs: 2878-1523 (65.4%)
• Home Dogs: 1231-588 (67.7%)
• Road Favs: 1183-636 (65.0%)
• Road Dogs: 3021-1380 (68.6%)

Obviously all of these subsets fall short of the 70.5% required break even rate on 5Dimes 2-team 4.5-point “ties win” basketball teasers.

Looking at totals, there is no help here either. Using the same data, teased unders went 3798-2422 (61.1%) and teased overs went 3732-2488 (60.0%). These stats are hideous! If you want to be a winning sports bettor, be absolutely sure to avoid teasers involving basketball totals.

As you can see there is plenty reason behind mods on forums informing basketball teasers are sucker bets, and keep in mind, this is at 5Dimes industry leading odds. To beat 2-team 5-point teasers at sites offering -110 to -130 you’d have to have each team cover 72.4% to 75.2% of the time instead of the 70.5% required for 5Dimes teasers. Now with all this said, if you realize in NBA basketball not all points off a point-spread have equal value, it’s possible to increase cover rates.

NBA Margins of Victory

Over the past 6,220 NBA games this is how often the margins of victories landed on the points between 1 and 14:

• 1 point: 251
• 2 points: 347
• 3 points: 333
• 4 points: 370
• 5 points: 413
• 6 points: 375
• 7 points: 410
• 8 points: 388
• 9 points: 359
• 10 points: 318
• 11 points: 301
• 12 points: 246
• 13 points: 250
• 14 points: 202

The distribution of margin of victory has clutters around certain points for reasons related to end game strategy of closely contested games. This involves intentional fouls, buzzer beaters, holding for final possessions, etc. I’ll note this is not a data-mined sample to prove a point; it’s a well-known fact that in NBA basketball 7 and 5 are the most frequent margins of victory and it’s been this way for many years.

Knowing this, there are few things we need to consider to determine which point spreads are the best to tease. First off, 5 and 7 are the most common margins of victory and the numbers surrounding them are frequent as well. Ideally we want to only select teasers that cross 5 and 7. Also considering 5Dimes offers us “ties win” we don’t want to waste half points as in this range every half point is worth a lot. With all this considered, it seems common sense the optimal teasers subsets on 5Dimes 4.5-Point “ties win” are: 1) all underdogs of exactly +2.5, +3.5 and +4.5 and 2) all favorites of exactly -7.5, -8.5 and -9.5. Using these subsets, we always cross the two most frequent margins of victory 5 and 7, and also don’t waste any half-points on spreads that can’t push; all of our teasers are the equivalent of 5-point teasers at +101 because “ties win”.

Testing out with data pulled season to date on March 13, 2011 plus the 4 previous seasons the results came to 1200-491 (71.0%). This is better than our required 70.5% break even rate.

For those interested in the subset breakdown, here goes:

• Home Favs: 401-149 (72.9%)
• Road Favs: 96-40 (70.6%)
• Home Dogs: 268-114 (70.2%)

Nba Teaser Strategies

Perhaps keeping an eye on the road dogs, or dogs overall, would make sense as these fall short of the break even rate. For sure though, if there is a home favorite and you need a team to match it with, home dogs are a great option as 72.9% + 70.2% is still largely +EV when combined together.

Worth noting is, these opportunities are quite frequent. In teasers it’s a must you have another leg to match each selection with. Removing road dogs (the least profitable subset), during the 2009/10 season there were still 162 teasable games, meaning there was one or more other legs available to tease them with, and they matched the criteria of one of the remaining 3 subsets. So if you think for a minute, I just gave you 150+ profitable NBA picks per season. There are tout sites that charge thousands of dollars, don’t release nearly as many plays, and many of them are nothing more than deceptive marketers that masquerade as sharps. Considering I just passed you the rice bowl on how to crush basketball teasers, I ask one small favor in return; please sign up with one of the sportsbooks mentioned below.

5Dimes – Seeing as you’re now a sharp NBA bettor, 5Dimes is a must have account. What you’ll find here is a wide selection of highly +EV props, as well as the industry’s best NBA promotions including free bets, and sometimes triple odds on props involving nationally televised NBA games.

2BetDSI.com – If you’re going to profit off basketball teasers, you might as well do the same for football. While not competitive in basketball, 2BetDSI has awesome odds on NFL teasers. For more info see our comprehensive guide to teaser betting strategy where football is covered in depth.

Nba Teaser Bets

Bookmaker.com – No matter what size your bankroll is now, if you manage it well, and apply the strategies covered at OnlineGambling.co eventually you’re going to outgrow you betting limits everywhere else. Bookmaker, in business since 1985, is the industry’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook. They also boast the highest limits on the net allowing $10,000 bets on NBA teasers, $20,000 bets on football teasers, and $30K to $40K wagers on most point spreads.

As a reminder, OnlineGambling.co is the only gambling portal on the net “legitimately” committed to helping recreational gamblers win. We strongly appreciate any support you give us in return, and wish you and all of our readers the best of luck this betting season.

Are you interested in betting teasers in the NBA? You need to ask yourself a simple question - do you find betting teasers fun? If you do, and if you bet on sports largely to have fun, then betting teasers is a good idea for you. If, on the other hand, your goal is long-term profit and minimized house edge then you should probably avoid teasers in all but unique and specific situations. Don't believe me? Let's have a look.

First, what is a teaser? It's a bet in which you take two or more teams and add a set amount of points to the lines of each team. In the NBA the most common teasers are 4.5, 5, and 5.5 points, with both higher and lower point totals available from some betting shops. Let's say you liked the Lakers, who were favored by six, and Cleveland, who were two point underdogs. If you were to bet a 4.5-point teaser then those lines would become Los Angeles -1.5 and Cleveland +6.5. You bet both games on one ticket, and both results have to occur as you need them to in order for you to receive a payout on your ticket. You aren't limited to just two games, either - you can add more games, and your greater risk is rewarded by a greater monetary return. Some books also have a super teaser that allows you even more points (often seven or more) at a lower payoff.

Teasers slash points off of a favorite's point spread and add a further cushion to underdog's, so they sound like a gift to bettors, don't they? Wrong. So, so wrong. The problem is the house edge that you are sacrificing. A house edge is a fact of life in sports betting (unless you have a lot of degenerate friends you can wager with), but smart bettors look to minimize that edge in order to maximize their profit. Teasers certainly don't do that. The reason for this is fairly simple to see.

Let's look at a simple two team, 4.5-point teaser. That wager typically pays out at even money. Since you have to win both games in order to win the bet then, over the long term you have to pick 70.7 percent of games correctly in order to just break even. That's because .707 * .707 = .50, so if you pick 70.7 percent of games correctly then you will pick both right half of the time. The problem is that a shift in spreads of 4.5 points does not, over the long term, cause the favorites to cover more than 70.7 percent of their games, nor does it cause the underdogs to cover more than that mark. By making this bet over the long term then, you are willingly accepting a losing proposition. The situation doesn't improve as the points you add get bigger, either. A 5.5-point, two-team teaser typically pays 5-to-6. That means you have to win 73.9 percent of your games to break even. As is the case with parlays, the house edge also gets larger as you add more teams to your parlay.

Nba Teasers

Though NBA teasers are not profitable over the long run, it is not theoretically impossible that situations could exist where the bet could make sense. All you would need to do is figure out what the break-even point of the bet is and then find situations where the historical occurrence of an outcome comes at a higher rate than the breakeven rate. None come immediately to mind, but, for the sake of argument, let's say that you were to discover that teams favored by four win 85 percent of their games at home on nights when there is a lunar eclipse. If you were to find a night where the moon and the sun were aligned, and two teams were favored at home by four, then you would have a very worthwhile bet. With a good deal of handicapping work it is feasible that situations like that could be found in the NBA, much like the Wong teaser has been shown to be profitable in the NFL.

Upon completion of this NBA feature view Insider Sports Report's Betting NBA Totals page, Insider Sports Report's NBA Gambling Lines resource is a must read for NBA wagering. If you plan on betting NBA you'll also want to read our Betting NBA Second Half's page. For more NBA articles and free picks visit our homepage and view the 'Resources' section.

Despite the long-term inherent lack of profitability in the NBA teaser, there may be specific situations where a teaser could be attractive. Say, for example, that your handicapping has led you to identify two solid favorites that you like, but which you are lukewarm about. If both teams were favored by seven, and you figure that they will win by somewhere between five and eight points, then you won't feel confident betting on them on the point spread, but you also wouldn't feel confident betting on their opponents. You could confidently bet the moneyline, but the return would be low given the size of the spread. By using a four-point teaser you could adjust both point spreads down so that the spreads are below your predicted score. That might be the best way to confidently maximize profit potential given your suspected result.

Teasers aren't the best bet on the board by any means. That doesn't mean you shouldn't play them, though. Some people love the action and excitement of the wager. You just need to know what you are betting, and what it is costing you. If it still seems worthwhile then go for it.

Nba Teaser Odds

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